Wednesday, June 29, 2005

Blog from the Balkans

Zagreb, Croatia.

The Balkans – for many people the name conjures up images of a decade of war, ethnic hatreds that go back centuries and have lived on into the 21st. That corner of Europe in which violent conflict seems to lurk just under the surface.

The wars of the 1990s are vividly remembered here. A professor on the Croatian coast tells me how she delivered her son in a hospital without lights, blacked out in expectation if an imminent Serbian shelling from the sea. A university student recalls spending episodes in her middle school years in a Zagreb bomb shelter. A friend explains that her stubborn parents refused to leave their hometown even after it came under regular shelling. Twenty-five miles away, she could only go visit when the road looked safe.

This is my second trip to this region in the last year. Last fall I was in Montenegro, invited by a group of community activists to offer training in public advocacy. This week I am in Croatia, studying how citizens are mobilizing to help shape decisions about the public budget.

Countries like this are called, in the jargon of global development, "transition countries". Transition from Yugoslavian Communism to European capitalism. Transition from warfare to peace. Transition to a future that people here are still trying to define for themselves.

This morning I met with the leadership of the second largest labor federation in the country. I could just as easily have been back home in Bolivia. The IMF and World Bank are at work here trying to convince the country to privatize its water and its public heath system. People are nervous, especially labor groups. The other privatizations here haven’t turned out so good for workers. One by one the nation's economy is not only being put into private hands but foreign hands.

As in Bolivia, the tool in the hands that come from Washington is debt. Countries like these have borrowed a bundle from abroad and now the payback includes not just cash but changing the economic rules of the game to the IMF's and Bank's liking.

The people of the Balkans have suffered horribly in the past fifteen years. A third of this nation was occupied for five years. Hundreds of thousands of Croatians fled the Serbian takeover, left their communities and became refugees. And this pales against the horror of "ethnic cleansing" operations that took place nearby in Bosnia and Kosovo.

What do Croatians want now? In addition to peace they want democracy – the right to self-determine their own futures, both political and economic. Yet here, as in Bolivia, democracy is really a power sharing relationship with global institutions over which the nation has little influence.

22 Comments:

Anonymous Miguel said...

Reading the article above, it seems to me the blame for all of Bolivia's problems (for that matter any poor country) can be attributed to either the WB or IMF.

How about the decisions made by the politicians themselves? Do the WB and IMF really come and stuff loans down the politician's throats in a scheme to dominate the country?

I think a great part of the problem are institutions like the WB and IMF. However, there is plenty of gult to go around. Inept politicians that make those ill decisions are also responsible.

12:36 PM  
Anonymous Alvaro RN said...

Yes, obviously the fault lies always with the World Bank, the IMF and Washington, who bullies countries into accepting loans.

Why don't we cut the crap? The fault lies with Bolivians themselves. First of all, there is a lot of racism in BOlivia - from both sides. A native person who has the exact quealifications as a creole will have less opportunities in the labour market (which is not to say that the creole is a damn oligarc who has everything easy, by the way). On the other hand, a "whiter" person will find that most natives think of him as being corrupt, scheming and intrinsecally bad, regardless of it being the case or not.

Then, as in all of Latin America, there is a culture of getting more than what you paid for. Yes, all Bolivians constantly try to outsmart each other, to the point that you have to be paranoid to get things done. In street markets, for example, vendors have 3 different prices for every item: one for "rich" tourists/foreigners, one for the whities and one for the natives. And even these prices are overrated, as you can always get a discount just for bargaining.

Also, the political and institutional framework of Bolivia is plain bad. Politicians use the debt as a get-rich-quick-scheme, regardless of their political orientation or constituency. (Yes Jim, sorry to bring this to you, but MAS politicians are also involved. They can surely talk about new elections, but when it comes to resigning their posts, even your dear Evo is demanding compensation).

Also, the fiscal deficit is so big that public and private debt this year reached 82% of the GDP. How are you going to pay if most people think paying taxes is plainly wrong?

On the other hand, do you people really think that each and every time a government gets a loan from the WB or the IMF there is a CIA agent holding the president's baby daughter hostage until the deal is done? Get real, people. The US does have a huge amount of influence, but nobody forces these countries to get indebted.

Your post there is laughable. Do you really think the Balkans are now subjugated by the US, when they fall into the EU's sphere of influence? Do you all loans are funded by the WB/IMF? What about the European Bank for Reconstruction?

Please Jim, get real.

4:53 AM  
Blogger Andrew T. said...

I saw a reference in a Bolivia paper today that said that Evo is running third in public approval right now behind Tuto Quiroga and Doria Medina.

If this is correct (and even given the torturously bad past of Bolivian opinion polls there's no reason to think it's not) then it again raises the issue - does Evo really speak for "the people"?

5:19 PM  
Blogger Boli-Nica said...

, Andrew T. said...
I saw a reference in a Bolivia paper today that said that Evo is running third in public approval right now behind Tuto Quiroga and Doria Medina.

If this is correct (and even given the torturously bad past of Bolivian opinion polls there's no reason to think it's not) then it again raises the issue - does Evo really speak for "the people"?

4:19 PM


Andrew in Jim's spin, Evo represents Bolivians aspirations with his 20 percent of the vote.

Notice, how he villifies Goni, who got roughly the same percentage of the popular vote.

It is somehow ok, to throw out the Constitutionally elected President, because of his so-called "Washington Consensus" policies.

Evo is an all-right guy, leading a chaotic revolt that undermined the country's stability, while Goni is drenched in blood, because he tried to quell the upheaval that Evo himself enabled, and which provoked the authorities.

5:47 PM  
Blogger Boli-Nica said...

While Jim is in the Balkans he could actually do something positive for a change, by figuring out how the hell to prevent the "Balcanization" of Bolivia. :p


--couldn't resist that one.

1:01 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

A couple of innocent serbs died in that war too, fyi

3:26 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Serbs were cleansed by the 100s of thousands from Croatia. The Croats systematically looted their homes, then burned them and poisoned the wells, killed the animals and even mined the land. The Serbs can't come back to their property. Serbs lived in parts of Croatia for several hundred years. Certain parts of the Krajina never had many Croats and were empty when the Serbs were invited to settle there to serve as a military front against the Serbs. Croats either never lived there or lived there very sparsely and didn't resist the Turks at all in Krajina - no reports of any battles, fighting or even anyone getting killed.

The 2002 census showed that Serbs were down to only 1/3 of their prewar population in Croatia. They were 12.2% in 1991 but only 4.5% in 2002.

The Croat police were arresting Serbs, torturing them and throwing them in the Danube river in Vukovar. There are pictures of this on the internet along with the people fully identified - and they are Serbs.

Tomislav Mercep started the violence in May 1991 already.

A German citizen has written a book of how he in 1990 (a year before the war) witnessed Croats systematically blowing up Serbs' homes in Zadar. The Croats would then tell visitors the Serbs did this.

Do some research on TOMISLAV MERCEP and MIRO BAJRAMOVIC. Read Miro Bajramovic's confession (and he did this on his own - wasn't jailed or forced) of what they did to Serbs in Gospic. Before the atrocities and ming-boggling torture the Croats did to Gospic Serbs, Tomislav Mercep had been posted in Vukovar.

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Anonymous Anonymous said...

"serve as a military front against the Serbs"

correction: should be "against the Ottoman Turks"

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